working on the maths on outage probabilities.
via Paddy Mallon on twitter: ‘results (pre-print) of an analysis examining SARS-CoV-2 variants in Ireland from hospital cases during 2020. This is the largest analysis of its kind to date in Ireland and provides some important insights into #COVID19Ireland.”
1. Effective lockdown leading to low transmission rates can essentially eliminate common #SARS_CoV_2 variants contributing to disease ..BUT.. 2. ..new variants can be introduced (likely [via] travel) that seed new waves of #COVID19. As daily infections fall, hopefully correct implementation of new travel restrictions can help stop future W4 of #COVID19Ireland. We also hope that this data helps people understand how travel contributes to new #COVID19 infections (and new variants) coming into the country.