‘Blended threat’ = Storm

[Commtouch have apparently released an 'Email Threats Trend Report' for the third quarter of 2007], which contains this factoid:

Blended threat messages — or spam messages with links to malicious URLs — accounted for up to 8% of all global email traffic during the peaks of various attacks during the quarter [...]

Spam with malware hyperlinks inside: One technique which reached a new high during the quarter was innocent-appearing spam messages that contained hyperlinks to malware-sites. This type of spam utilizes vast zombie botnets to launch ‘drive-by downloads’ and evade detection by most anti-virus engines. Several blended spam attacks of this type focused on leisure-time activities, such as sports and video games. Messages invited consumers to download “fun” software such as NFL game-tracking and video games from what appeared to be legitimate websites. Instead, consumers voluntarily downloaded malware onto their computers.

Those short messages that invited downloads of NFL game-tracking software (”Get Your Free NFL Game Tracker”, “Football Fan Essentials”, “Are you ready for football season?” etc.), and video games (”Wow, free games!”, “New game software, with over 1000 games—FREE”, “Holy cow, 1000 free games online” etc.), is all output from the Storm worm — I wouldn’t call it a new kind of “blended threat” per se. I’m surprised that Commtouch didn’t name it; maybe they don’t realise it’s Storm?

I’d say it’s output is higher than 8% of my incoming spam, although it has reduced its spam output quite a bit recently.

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The Prime Time Group pump-and-dump

Spamnation.info links to an interesting article by Computerworld’s Gregg Keizer about the massive PRTH.PK spam run.

As usual, there are no shortage of suckers:

The spam blast did drive up Prime Time’s share price from Monday’s low of around 7 cents to Wednesday’s high of 11 cents, a 57% jump. Thursday morning, however, the bottom dropped out, and the stock fell to under 7 cents. Trading volumes peaked Wednesday as well, at around 1.7 million shares, substantially higher than any day in the month prior. “You can actually see the wave of activity in the stock and compare it with the volume of spam that we trapped,” said [Sophos analyst Ron] O’Brien.

But here’s an interesting new tactic by the good guys:

Last Wednesday afternoon, Prime Time announced that it was ordering a Non Objecting Beneficial Owners (NOBO) list to get a clearer picture of who owned its shares. “The NOBO list will be used to determine the naked short positions in Prime Time Group Inc.,” the company said in a statement. “The finding will then be reported to the [National Association of Securities Dealers] to take action against the violators of the naked short regulations.”

“Naked short” is a investment term that refers to selling short, essentially a bet that the price will drop, but with a twist: “naked” means that the investor sells short without first making sure he can borrow the shares from another investor holding a “long” position on the stock.

I hope this works; it’d be great to see the profit mechanism behind pump-and-dump spam killed off.

Spamnation notes:

Incidentally, the greeting card spam that built the botnet used to promote PRTH.PK and CYTV.OB also continues. It has iterated through another couple of generations: the current incarnation tells recipients to collect their custom Musical ecard or custom Movie-quality ecard or other variants on that theme. We’ve seen about 150 of these in the past three days, suggesting that the unknown senders are probably well on their way to building up another botnet for their next stock spam run.

Spreading trojans via greeting-card spam is a trademark of the gigantic Storm botnet, AFAIK: SecureWorks info, MessageLabs info, spam levels causing DDoS for Canadian networks, DDoS threat for EDU sector.

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Spam volumes at accidental-DoS levels

Both Jeremy Zawodny and Dale Dougherty at O’Reilly Radar are expressing some pretty serious frustration with the current state of SMTP. I have to say, I’ve been feeling it too.

A couple of months back, our little server came under massive load; this had happened before, and normally in those situations it was a joe-job attack. Switching off all filtering and just collecting the targeted domain’s mail in a buffer for later processing would work to ameliorate the problem, by allowing the load to “drain”. Not this time, though.

Instead, when I turned off the filtering, the load was still too high — the massive volume of spam (and spam blowback / backscatter) was simply too much for the Postfix MTA. The MTA could not handle all the connections and SMTP traffic in time to simply collect all the data and store it in a file!

Looking into the “attack” afterwards, once the load was back under control, it looked likely that it wasn’t really an attack — it was just a volume spike. Massive SMTP load, caused by spammers increasing the volume of their output for no apparent reason. (Since then, spam volumes have been increasing still further on a nearly weekly basis.)

This is the effect of botnets — the amount of compromised hosts is now big enough to amplify spam attacks to server-swamping levels. Our server is not a big one, but it serves less than 50 users’ email I’d say; the user-to-CPU-power ratio is pretty good compared to most ISPs’ servers.

So here’s the thing. New SMTP-based methods of delivering nonspam email — whether based on DKIM, SPF, webs of trusted servers, or whatever — will not be able to operate if they have to compete for TCP connection slots with spammers, since spammers can now swamp the SMTP listener for port 25 with connections. In effect, spam will DDoS legitimate email, no matter what authentication system that legit mail uses to authenticate itself.

This, in my opinion, is a big problem.

What’s the fix? A “new SMTP” on a whole different port, where only authed email is permitted? How do you make that DoS-resistant? Ideas?

(Obviously, counting on spammers to notice or care is not a good approach.)

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Spam zombies — we need to cure the disease, not suppress the symptoms

Here’s a great presentation from Joe St Sauver presented at the London Action Plan meeting recently: Infected PCs Acting As Spam Zombies: We Need to Cure the Disease, Not Just Suppress the Symptoms

Some key points in brief:

Despite all our ongoing efforts: the spam problem continues to worsen, with nine out of every ten emails now spam; spam volume has increased by 80% over just the past few months and users face a constantly morphing flood of malware trying to take over their computers. Bottom line: we’re losing the war on spam.

The root cause of today’s spam problems is spam zombies, with 85% of all spam being delivered via spam zombies.

The spam zombie problem grows worse every day (with over ninety one million new spam zombies per year)

Users don’t, won’t, or can’t clean up their infected PCs; and ISPs can’t be expected to clean up their infected customers’ PCs.

Filtering port 25 and doing rate limiting is like giving cough syrup to someone with lung cancer — it may suppress some overt symptoms but it doesn’t cure the underlying disease.

Filtered and rate-limited spam zombies CAN still be used for many, many OTHER bad things, and they represent a huge problem if left to languish in a live infected state.

Joe’s take — “we’re in the middle of a worldwide cyber crisis”. I agree. He suggests a new strategy:

It is common for universities to produce and distribute a one-click clean-up-and-secure CD for use by their students and faculty. It’s now time for our governments to produce and distribute an equivalent disk for everyone to use.

I agree the existing schemes are clearly not working; this is an interesting suggestion. Read/listen to the presentation in full for more details; pick up PDF, PPT and video here.

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Massive spam volumes causing ISP delays

Via Steve Champeon’s daily links, the following spam-in-the-news stories illustrate a rising trend:

Huge amounts of spam are said to be responsible for delays in the email network of NZ ISP Xtra.

Several customers have vented their frustrations on an Xtra website message board saying some emails were days late, The New Zealand Herald reports.

… Record volumes of spam meant such problems would be “an unfortunate and on-going reality of the internet not specific to any provider”, he said.

Mr Bowler said Telecom had invested “tens of millions of dollars” in email and anti-spam software and worked closely with two of the world’s leading anti-spam vendors.

Holiday spam e-mails are to blame for slowing message delivery to faculty and staff in schools across Kentucky …

“Some 123-reg customers may have experienced intermittent delays in their emails in the last two weeks. We had received a particularly high level of image-based spam attacks over a short period of time,” the Pipex subsidiary said.

Small businesses are threatening legal action over continuing glitches with Xtra’s email service and the Consumers’ Institute says they may have a case.

Several people have contacted the Herald complaining that delays and non-deliveries of emails over the past three weeks on the Xtra network are severely affecting their businesses. …

The institute’s David Russell said home users could claim compensation for email delays if they had suffered “a real measurable loss”.

Non-commercial customers were covered by the Consumer Guarantees Act and services they paid for had to be of a “reasonable quality”.

Although it might be more difficult for small business owners, they could also have a case, Mr Russell said. “If there has been a considerable amount of money, they could consider legal action or, if the amount was smaller, they could go through the disputes tribunal.”

In other words, the DDOS-like elements of the spam problem are becoming an increasing worry; even with working spam filtering in place, the record size of zombie botnets means that spammers can now destroy organisations’ computing infrastructure, almost accidentally.

Spammers don’t care if an organisation’s infrastructure collapses while they’re sending their spam to it — they just want to maximise exposure of their spam, by any means necessary. If that requires knocking a company off the air entirely for a while, so be it.

I’m not sure what can be done about this, in terms of filtering. It may finally be time to fall back to a “side channel” of trusted, authenticated SMTP peers, and leave the spam-filled world of random email from people and organisations you don’t know to one side, as a lower-priority system which can (and will, frequently) collapse, without affecting the ‘important’ stuff. What a mess. :(

Alternatively, maybe it’s time for governments to start putting serious money into botnet-spam-related arrests and prosecution.

This has additional issues for ISPs, too, btw — I wonder if Earthlink are taking note of that Xtra lawsuit story above….

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