‘Blended threat’ = Storm

[Commtouch have apparently released an 'Email Threats Trend Report' for the third quarter of 2007], which contains this factoid:

Blended threat messages — or spam messages with links to malicious URLs — accounted for up to 8% of all global email traffic during the peaks of various attacks during the quarter [...]

Spam with malware hyperlinks inside: One technique which reached a new high during the quarter was innocent-appearing spam messages that contained hyperlinks to malware-sites. This type of spam utilizes vast zombie botnets to launch ‘drive-by downloads’ and evade detection by most anti-virus engines. Several blended spam attacks of this type focused on leisure-time activities, such as sports and video games. Messages invited consumers to download “fun” software such as NFL game-tracking and video games from what appeared to be legitimate websites. Instead, consumers voluntarily downloaded malware onto their computers.

Those short messages that invited downloads of NFL game-tracking software (”Get Your Free NFL Game Tracker”, “Football Fan Essentials”, “Are you ready for football season?” etc.), and video games (”Wow, free games!”, “New game software, with over 1000 games—FREE”, “Holy cow, 1000 free games online” etc.), is all output from the Storm worm — I wouldn’t call it a new kind of “blended threat” per se. I’m surprised that Commtouch didn’t name it; maybe they don’t realise it’s Storm?

I’d say it’s output is higher than 8% of my incoming spam, although it has reduced its spam output quite a bit recently.

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Scary Storm figure

This study of the Storm worm (via) contains this rather terrifying factoid:

Figure 12 illustrates a time-volume graph of TCP packets, SMTP packets, spam messages, and smtp servers. Our analysis of this graph reveals the following findings. First, we find that except for the first 5 minutes almost all the TCP communication is dominated by spam. Second, we measured that hosts generate on average of 100 successful spam messages per five minutes, which translates to 1200 spam messages per hour or 28,800 messages per day. If we mutiply this by the estimated size for the Storm network (which we suspect varies between 1 million and 5 million, we derive that the total number of spam messages that could be generated by Storm is somewhere between 28 billion and 140 billon per day.

While such numbers might be mind-boggling they are inline with observed spam volumes in the Internet, e.g., overall volume of spam messages in the Internet per day in 2006 was estimated to be around 140 billion [2]; Spamhaus claims to have been blocking over 50 billion spam messages per day in October 2006 [10], and AOL was blocking 1.5 billion spam messages per day in its network in June 2006 [5]. These numbers suggest that Storm could be responsible for anywhere between 17% and 50% of all spam that is generated on the Internet.

28 to 140 billion messages per day. That is a lot of spam.

Minor nitpick with the paper — it notes that

Storm retrieves emails found in [certain] files and gathers information about possible hosts, users, and mailing lists that are referenced in these files. In particular, it looks for strings like “yahoo.com”, “gmail.com”, “rating@”, “f-secur”, “news”, “update”, “anyone@”, “bugs@”, “contract@”, “feste”, “gold-certs@”, “help@”, “info@”, “nobody@”, “noone@”, “kasp”, “admin”, “icrosoft”, “support”, “ntivi”, “unix”, “bsd”, “linux”, “listserv”, “certific”, “sopho”, “@foo”, “@iana”, “free-av”, “@messagelab”, “winzip”, “google”, “winrar”, “samples” , “abuse”, “panda”, “cafee”, “spam”, “pgp”, “@avp.” , “noreply” , “local”, “root@”, and “postmaster@”.

I would postulate that those strings are a stoplist — that in fact the worm avoids sending spam to addresses containing those strings. The presence of “abuse” and “postmaster” in particular would suggest that.

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The Prime Time Group pump-and-dump

Spamnation.info links to an interesting article by Computerworld’s Gregg Keizer about the massive PRTH.PK spam run.

As usual, there are no shortage of suckers:

The spam blast did drive up Prime Time’s share price from Monday’s low of around 7 cents to Wednesday’s high of 11 cents, a 57% jump. Thursday morning, however, the bottom dropped out, and the stock fell to under 7 cents. Trading volumes peaked Wednesday as well, at around 1.7 million shares, substantially higher than any day in the month prior. “You can actually see the wave of activity in the stock and compare it with the volume of spam that we trapped,” said [Sophos analyst Ron] O’Brien.

But here’s an interesting new tactic by the good guys:

Last Wednesday afternoon, Prime Time announced that it was ordering a Non Objecting Beneficial Owners (NOBO) list to get a clearer picture of who owned its shares. “The NOBO list will be used to determine the naked short positions in Prime Time Group Inc.,” the company said in a statement. “The finding will then be reported to the [National Association of Securities Dealers] to take action against the violators of the naked short regulations.”

“Naked short” is a investment term that refers to selling short, essentially a bet that the price will drop, but with a twist: “naked” means that the investor sells short without first making sure he can borrow the shares from another investor holding a “long” position on the stock.

I hope this works; it’d be great to see the profit mechanism behind pump-and-dump spam killed off.

Spamnation notes:

Incidentally, the greeting card spam that built the botnet used to promote PRTH.PK and CYTV.OB also continues. It has iterated through another couple of generations: the current incarnation tells recipients to collect their custom Musical ecard or custom Movie-quality ecard or other variants on that theme. We’ve seen about 150 of these in the past three days, suggesting that the unknown senders are probably well on their way to building up another botnet for their next stock spam run.

Spreading trojans via greeting-card spam is a trademark of the gigantic Storm botnet, AFAIK: SecureWorks info, MessageLabs info, spam levels causing DDoS for Canadian networks, DDoS threat for EDU sector.

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